Today's Tips
8 tips
Race 3 — Randwick, 1:45 PM
Desert Storm (#3)
EV
+15.2%
Stake
3.1u (Kelly)
Odds
3.20
Book
TAB
Class drop, peak fitness indicators, track specialist with 4/5 wins at venue.
Race 2 — Caulfield, 12:30 PM
Midnight Run (#5)
EV
+11.7%
Stake
2.5u (Kelly)
Odds
3.80
Book
TAB
Dominant sectional times in recent runs, step up in distance suits breeding profile.
Race 5 — Flemington, 3:20 PM
Lightning Bolt (#7)
EV
+12.4%
Stake
2.3u (Kelly)
Odds
4.60
Book
Sportsbet
Strong wet-track form, barrier advantage, jockey in career-best form streak.
Race 4 — Eagle Farm, 2:15 PM
Golden Arrow (#1)
EV
+6.9%
Stake
1.9u (Kelly)
Odds
2.80
Book
Ladbrokes
Consistent performer, drawn perfectly, track bias towards leaders today.
Storm vs Roosters — 7:50 PM
Melbourne Storm -4.5
EV
+8.8%
Stake
1.8u (Kelly)
Odds
1.92
Book
Bet365
Storm's defensive pressure metrics elite, Roosters missing 2 key forwards.
Collingwood vs Carlton — 7:30 PM
Over 164.5 Total Points
EV
+7.3%
Stake
1.4u (Kelly)
Odds
1.88
Book
Sportsbet
Both teams scoring freely early season, expected warm conditions favour high scoring.
Race 7 — Moonee Valley, 4:30 PM
Arctic Breeze (#11)
EV
+9.1%
Stake
1.5u (Kelly)
Odds
6.50
Book
Ladbrokes
Value play — market underrating recent trial performance and stable form.
Panthers vs Eels — 5:30 PM
Nathan Cleary 1+ Try
EV
+18.5%
Stake
0.8u (Kelly)
Odds
5.00
Book
Bet365
High EV despite lower confidence — Cleary running more set plays near the line this season.